Friday, June 10, 2005
The demo of the 20th century by Doug Engelbart
Doug Engelbart does a demo of the time sharing system. How would one use a computer at the desk every day at work. The demo of the century, showing for example the mouse in 1968.
When I look at the future predictions from the past I am almost always surprised that we made more progress in less time than predicted. Demos are different than science fiction as they are always hostages of our current minds trapped by our knowledge, not liberated by our imagination.
We overestimate the short term impact of things and underestimate the longterm impact of things. Just think of Internet 10 years ago! or the mobile phone. In 1996 I could not imagine that in 2004 a significant of all mobile phones sold would contain a camera, or that Nokia for example would be the worlds largest camera manufacturer.
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Posted by: Pierre-Olivier at Jun 18, 2005 2:01:17 PM
Human-Computer Interaction design seems to have stalled IMHO. Though the ASP model and Ajax are cool..
Doug Engelbart and Mark Weiser's work are the interaction paradigms of the future IMHO.
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